December 14, 2010

day 3.8

golden globe: snubs and surprises
katies holmes and josh duhamel took the stage today to announce who might take home a golden globe come january. the globes are one of my favorite award shows, because both tv and film are recognized. plus, there the globes are usually an outlet for some lesser known, or lesser recognized, people and films to be recognized. below's a list of nominees, along with who i want to take home the award, who actually will and who got snubbed.

motion picture - drama
  • black swan
  • the fighter
  • inception
  • the king's speech
  • the social network
overall, i think the hollywood foreign press association (that's who runs the globes for those not in the know) did a good job with these noms. the only snub i really noticed was country strong, which the hfpa may not be considering until next year's show - because the globes come at the beginning of awards season, their list of nominees is always a little off from other shows like the oscars. other movies, like rabbit hole and the town, probably should have been nom'd in this category, but were recognized in other categories. i'd love to see the social network or black swan win, and i think both have a good chance. the only flick i could see upsetting them would be the king's speech.

motion picture - musical or comedy
  • alice in wonderland
  • burlesque
  • the kids are all right
  • red
  • the tourist
this is by far one of the most bizarre lists the hfpa has ever put together. while i haven't seen it, i would love to know how the tourist is a comedy. again, no major snubs, just a lot of surprises - the only movie i would have liked to see get nominated is love and other drugs, which got noms in the acting categories. i think the kids are all right will take this category because it's the right balance between comedy and drama, and it's had the most award show buzz this year. alice in wonderland, like inception in the drama category, is nominated solely for theatrical achievement. burlesque would sweep the award shows if there were solely musical categories, while red and the tourist are too comical and too dramatic, respectively, to even be thought about.

motion picture actor - drama
  • jesse eisenberg, the social network
  • colin firth, the king's speech
  • james franco, 127 hours
  • ryan gosling, blue valentine
  • mark wahlberg, the fighter
jesse eisenberg. jesse eisenberg, and, oh, jesse eisenberg. talk about the year's breakout performance. if the hfpa wants to go with a more traditional star, colin firth or james franco will take home this award. the controversy surrounding blue valentine's rating, and my inability to take mark wahlberg very seriously after googling "marky mark," throw those two noms out the window for me. the biggest snub here? leo dicaprio, who gave two stellar performances (in shutter island and inception) this year.

motion picture actress - drama
  • halle berry, frankie and alice
  • nicole kidman, rabbit hole
  • jennifer lawrence, winter's bone
  • natalie portman, black swan
  • michalle williams, blue valentine
seeing as 4/5 films nominated here haven't even been released across the country, i'm not quite sure how i'm supposed to make a judgment. based on buzz alone (and the fact that where the heart is was on tv tonight), i'm hoping natalie portman gets to take this one home. but kidman, berry or williams could each take it home based on past nominations. and, like every year, the underdog (lawrence) could steal the statue. hopefully gwyneth paltrow (country strong) will get some recognition next year.

motion picture actor - musical or comedy
  • johnny depp, alice in wonderland
  • johnny depp, the tourist
  • paul giamatti, barney's version
  • jake gyllenhaal, love and other drugs
  • kevin spacey, casino jack
again, bizarre. johnny depp twice? really? paul giamatti? the only feasible nominee in my head is jake gyllenhaal. mark ruffalo should have been nominated for the kids are all right, and harrison ford should get some notice for the most overlooked film of the year, morning glory.

motion picture actress - musical or comedy
  • annette bening, the kids are all right
  • julianne moore, the kids are all right
  • anne hathaway, love and other drugs
  • angelina jolie, the tourist
  • emma stone, easy a
this race will come down to the two stars of the kids are all right, and i'm betting bening will take it. i'm beyond excited to see emma stone on this list, as easy a is probably my favorite movie of 2010. it would have been nice to see cher or christina aguilera get recognized for burlesque - while their performances weren't oscar worthy, it's obvious that a lot of work went into the movie, and both did a nice job. as well, rachel mcadams was overlooked for morning glory, another one of my favorites from the past year.

motion picture supporting actor
  • christian bale, the fighter
  • michael douglas, wall street 2: money never sleeps
  • andrew garfield, the social network
  • jeremy renner, the town
  • geoffrey rush, the king's speech
the supporting nominee categories are probably the greatest source of frustration for me from the globes. how do you compare apples to oranges? and by apples and oranges i mean dramas to comedies? well, from this nominees, it's really all just dramas. expect geoffrey rush to get the award if the hfpa goes traditional, and andrew garfield to get recognized if they want to support some new talent. this category is full of snubs, with justin timberlake (the social network), john malkovich (red) and stanley tucci (burlesque) all missing out.

motion picture supporting actress
  • melissa leo, the fighter
  • helena bonham carter, the king's speech
  • mila kunis, black swan
  • amy adams, the fighter
  • jacki weaver, animal kingdom
mila kunis? i'm really not passionate about any of these ladies winning, so i hope that the black swan star finally gets some professional notice after putting in some of the best performances in tv and movies in the past decade. as far as snubs, i think diane keaton (morning glory) and kristen bell (burlesque) could have gotten some love.

motion picture - animated
  • toy story 3
  • the illusionist
  • how to train your dragon
  • despicable me
  • tangled
this category will come down to disney - it's toy story versus tangled, and the pixar-backed threequel will probably take the prize, seeing as it's the most successful animated movie of all time.

tv series - drama
  • boardwalk empire
  • dexter
  • the good wife
  • mad men
  • the walking dead
it's the most talked about show of the season, so i'm betting boardwalk empire will continue to grow buzz after winning this award. the hfpa was all about the cable shows, with good wife being the only network show receiving a nomination. mad men could take the prize, but i expect the amc show to get noticed in the acting categories. as far as snubs, lost's final season went out without a single nomination, and parenthood (which has some of the best acting on tv) continues to move closer and closer to cancelation with no award show love.

tv series - drama
  • steve buscemi, boardwalk empire
  • bryan cranston, breaking bad
  • michael c. hall, dexter
  • jon hamm, mad men
  • hugh laurie, house
bet on jon hamm, or this year's emmy winner bryan cranston to nab this award. any of the male leads from parenthood could have gotten into this category (or comedy i guess), as well as the last of lost.

tv series actress - drama
  • julianna margulies, the good wife
  • elisabeth moss, mad men
  • piper perabo, covert affairs
  • katey sagal, sons of anarchy
  • kyra sedgwick, the closer
i really have no clue here, with each of these actresses seeming like odd choices. julianna margulies is the most traditional choice, but sedgwick is about to start the closer's final season, which may garner her some attention. piper perabo seems like a token nominee, recognized just for her transition from film to tv. lauren graham (parenthood) and mad men's january jones were both overlooked.

tv series - musical or comedy
  • 30 rock
  • the big bang theory
  • the big c
  • glee
  • modern family
  • nurse jackie
with 6 nominees, the hfpa has its work cut out in deciding this category's winner. i'd really be happy with any of these shows winning, especially glee, modern family or nurse jackie. jackie is really on the cutting edge of where tv is going, but its second season lost some of the heart that was at the center of the series' first go around. cougar town is the only show that i would liked to have seen alongside these.

tv series actress - musical or comedy
  • toni collette, the united states of tar
  • edie falco, nurse jackie
  • tina fey, 30 rock
  • laura linney, the big c
  • lea michele, glee
toni collette is the globes' darling in this category, and the movie star-turned-small screen scene stealer might have what it takes to nab the trophy once again. the show's latest season was no where near as challenging for collette as she transitioned between alters less and less, but what she was able to accomplish was still pretty great. but, out of all these women, lea michele is the one who puts in the most work. like the show category, i would have liked to see cougar town nominated here, as courtney cox has never been nominated for an acting award for her work on tv (yep, she was the only friends' cast member to be snubbed in the show's 10 year run).

tv series actor - musical or comedy
  • alec baldwin, 30 rock
  • steve carell, the office
  • thomas jane, hung
  • matthew morrison, glee
  • jim parsons, the big bang theory
jim parsons all the way. that's really all i have to say about this category.

miniseries or movie made for tv
  • carlos
  • the pacific
  • pillars of the earth
  • temple grandin
  • you don't know jack
temple grandin swept the emmys, and i expect it to do the same at the globes. also, i've never seen any of these movies.

miniseries or movie made for tv - actress
  • hayley atwell, pillars of the earth
  • claire danes, temple grandin
  • judi dench, return to cranford
  • romola garai, emma
  • jennifer love hewitt, the client list
well this is a first - a laughably bad lifetime movie garnered an award show nomination! jennifer love hewitt won't be able to beat danes, but i'm beyond amused at the fact that she actually has the chance to go head-to-head with angela chase herself.

miniseries or movie made for tv - actor
  • idris elba, luther
  • ian mcshane, pillars of the earth
  • al pacino, you don't know jack
  • dennis quaid, the special relationship
  • edgar ramirez, carlos
i'm thinking al pacino as dr. death will take this category but, again, i didn't watch any of these so...

tv series, miniseries or movie - supporting actress
  • hope davis, the special relationship
  • jane lynch, glee
  • kelly macdonald, boardwalk empire
  • julia stiles, dexter
  • sofia vergara, modern family
talk about the category of snubs. modern family's julie bowen, cougar town's busy phillips, nurse jackie's merritt wever, anna deavere smith and eve best all got shut out. but, this is probably also the hfpa's toughest category. i expect jane lynch to steal this category, just like she steals every scene on glee. but movie star-turned-tv star julia stiles could get the award, just for the fact that she's been in movies. though, from what i've heard, stiles' turn on dexter was less than stellar.

tv series, miniseries or movie - supporting actor
  • scott caan, hawaii five-o
  • chris colfer, glee
  • chris noth, the good wife
  • eric stonestreet, modern family
  • david strathairn, temple grandin
and for the final category, i pick eric stonestreet. while his modern family costars ty burrell and jesse tyler ferguson were shut out, they would have never won next to stonestreet's cam.

be sure to see if any of my predictions are right when the 68th annual globes air january 16th on nbc. sadly (at least in my mind), ricky gervais will be back to host the usual mc-less globes.

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